Thursday, August 25, 2011

Perry: Buzz doesn't equal support...

Gallup has a new poll out, with Mr. Perry zooming to the top...

Perry Zooms to Front of Pack for 2012 GOP Nomination:

This isn't a shock. There's been a substantial amount of chatter about his candidacy and now that he's officially in the race, a lot of people are rather excited. I suspect its similar to the kind of splash New Jersey Governor Chris Christie would make if he decided to run for President. Right now, things look good for Mr. Perry. Which is probably not such a big deal to Mitt Romney, but certainly a big deal to Michelle Bachmann, Rick Santorum, etc.

The buzz is nice for Perry, but it may be short lived. There are three GOP debates scheduled in September, on the 7th, the 12th and the 22nd. Then there's two more in October. Front runner Romney has a major jobs speech planned for September 6th from Nevada, which while aimed at President Obama, is also a shot across the bow of Perry and all the other GOP candidates to do the same. Romney's ready, are any of them? The three debates will give us a chance to see how Perry presents himself within the mix of the rest of the GOP field. Will he be aggressive and go on the attack? Will he "play nice" and try to survive September and save his big guns for later on? I think for those candidates who are hanging on by a thread, (Santorum, Gingrich, Huntsman...) Perry has a bull's eye on his chest. I think the upper tier of Romney and Bachmann will play nice...Bachmann doesn't really need to push anything just yet and I think Romney isn't convinced of threat level the Perry campaign poses to his. Plus, I've written before and suggest again today that a Romney/Perry ticket would have a lot of appeal across the Republican party, hold strong geographical strength and pose a massive threat to Obama's re-election hopes.

So, while its Rick Perry all the time on the cable news channels, this will pass. I've seen nothing yet that suggests Perry is now a shoe in for the nomination. He's an interesting guy who seem to have a lot of sizzle about his campaign right now. We'll have to wait a while to see if there's any steak on the way as well.

September will be very interesting in the GOP world...



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