Tuesday, March 6, 2012

Live Blog on Super Tuesday...

Live blogging the second half of Super Tuesday...

11:58pm- Romney lead now up to 7,500 votes with very little left to report. We call Ohio for Mitt Romney...barely...

11:50pm- If I'm a Romney supporter, I feel better that we won than I would've if we'd lost, but I wouldn't feel THAT good. For all the money, opposition research, organization, etc. Ohio, a key state in the general election, was much closer than it should've been. The primaries head South for awhile and our guy doesn't do that well in the South. If I'm a Santorum supporter, I'm thrilled we made it as close as we did.Out organised, outspent, etc. our message is resonating with a certain "everyman" conservative voter who can carry us a long way. I probably focus more on Newt for the next few weeks than I do Romney as we both have an advantage in the Southern primaries. On the other hand, most of the states I've done well in are smaller states. How do I connect with the more urban conservatives. Is it an electability issue? If I'm a Gingrich supporter, even though winning Georgia was nice, it was also expected. I'm not sure much further the Gingrich train goes. If I'm a Ron Paul supporter, I give up...

11:47pm- Ohio SecofSt website now has Romney up by over 7,000. Fat lady is warming up...Not sure Ron Paul's rational for sticking around much longer.

11:39pm- According to Nate Silver from the FiveThirtyEight blog, Ohio State law says if the margin of victory is less than .025%, an automatic recount is triggered...With 91% of the vote in, Romney now leads by almost 6,000 votes. Looking very good for Romney. No, check that. He was supposed to win Ohio, not squeak past a religious fanatic who had no money, right?

11:23pm- CNN shows Romney with a 5300 vote lead, Secretary of State for Ohio website showing lead is just 2,291...Somehow CNN has 90% of the vote, the State of Ohio just 83.5%

11:15pm - Romney also liking Clermont County a bunch...

11:11pm- Romney pulls ahead by 6,152 votes. Thank you Cuyahoga County says the Romney campaign...

11:02pm- Difference now 1,837 votes...out of 779,000 total votes...wow...

10:57pm- Mitt Romney will walk away with most of the delegates from Ohio, despite the closeness of the vote, yet Romney has to asking himself ow to connect with the rural, non elite Republican voters. Difference back up to 2500, Santorum leads 38% - 37%...86% of vote counted...

10:50pm - Santorum's lead down to 2200, but both candidates now with 37% of the vote...

10:45pm- Santorum's lead evaporating...down to 2,570 with 84% reporting...

10:43pm- Romney looks strong in Idaho caucuses...81% reporting on Ohio, Santorum's lead is down to 6,017 votes...

10:38pm- Deficit down to 7,200 votes for Romney...Santorum may get boost from late reporting counties, most of which are rural...

10:33pm - Romney gaining ground, has made up 3,000 votes in last ten minutes...This still looks too close to call just yet...

10:28pm- Santorum dominating the Greater Miami Valley outside of Dayton proper...72% reporting, Santorum holding close to a 15K lead...

10:20pm- Santorum lead up over 15,000 with 70% reporting....

10:17pm- 66% of precincts reporting: Santorum up by 13,373...Romney has to be bumming badly...

10:12pm- Cincy, Columbus and Cleveland all going strong for Romney


10:11pm -Santorum lead back up to over 13k in Ohio...

10:09pm- CNN nows calls North Dakota for Santorum...

10:07pm:  More on North Dakota caucus results...with 78% of the votes tallied, Santorum-40%, Paul-27%, Romney-25%, Gingrich-8%...


10:04pm: Romney giving his standard Obama's failed/I'll succeed speech to supporters. With 60% of the vote accounted vote, Santorum lead down to about 10,000...But, Santorum now looks to have won North Dakota caucus as well...


9:45pm: Romney about to speak from Massachusetts. Plus major metro areas in Ohio (Cleveland, Columbus, Cincy, Toledo) all have under 20% of their results reported yet. Santorum plays best in the rural areas, while Romney performs better in the urban areas...With 45% of the Ohio vote in, Santorum leads by more than 16,000 votes...

9:41pm - Santorum's speech was much better than Gingrich's. On message, populist, invoked the "Greatest Generation", pushed all the right buttons...Got some basic facts about Obamacare wrong...not that his audience found it objectionable...

9:37pm - Romney campaign says "our best Counties haven't reported yet..." Trailing Santorum by over 13,000 votes....

9:33pm- Santorum's lead up to 4% with 36% reporting. Santorum, like Gingrich earlier tonight, wailing on Obama...lots of red meat for the base. Not sure how appealing all the scary talk plays with middle of the road indie voters...

9:24pm-With 29% of the vote in from Ohio, Santorum leads Romney 39% to 36%...Either Romney got profoundly poor return on his campaign dollars or Santorum is getting AWESOME value...

9:19pm-Santorum speaking to his supporters in Steubenville, OH...


9:12pm-With 20% of the vote in Santorum leads Romney in Ohio 38% to 37%...going to be a long night...Romney wins VA, VT and MA, Santorum wins TE and OK, Gingrich wins GA...No results yet fropm ND, ID and AK....

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