Monday, January 2, 2012

My prediction on the Iowa Caucus results...


My prediction for tomorrow's Iowa Caucus...

1) Ron Paul
2) Mitt Romney
3) Rick Santorum
4) Newt Gingrich
5) Rick Perry
6) Michelle Bachmann


I think the top three will be separated by less than 5%...
I think Bachmann is toast...
Mitt Romney is helped more by a top 3 finish than Ron Paul is helped by winning...
I won't be surprised if Santorum wins in Iowa...
I will be surprised if Rick Perry finishes in the top three...
Winning Iowa would mean the most to Santorum, in terms of fundraising especially...
New Hampshire won't have near the drama as Romney will cruise to a win in NH...
Top 3 finish in Iowa plus a win in NH puts Romney in an awfully strong position heading to SC & FLA...
All six candidates make it to New Hampshire, only 4-5 make it to South Carolina...

3 comments:

  1. 1)Romney
    2)Santorum
    3)Paul
    4)Gingrich
    The other 2 are irrelevant.

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  2. Regardless of what happens in Iowa,Romney will be the GOP candidate and he will beat Obama by 8-10%. Santorum will be his V.P. BTW my mom taught Mitt Sunday school;don't know if I ever told you that.

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  3. Wow,I got it right albeit by 8 votes lol!

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